NWSL Playoff Math Rundown

Believe it or not, but with less than 13 days left in the NWSL regular season, no club has actually yet clinched a playoff spot.

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Four points divide first and sixth in the league table, while four points also create the playoff line between sixth and seventh.

Gotham FC, Racing Louisville, and the Washington Spirit have already been eliminated.

The Orlando Pride would need a very specific series of results and a wild goal-differential swing to avoid being eliminated.

The bottom three teams in contention — North Carolina, Angel City, and Chicago — could have their seasons come down to the wire.


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Currently behind by four points, L.A. can go into their final regular season game against the Red Stars ahead of the playoff line by two points, at best.

It’s still possible for North Carolina to go into their final game in sixth place, but their finale is against league-leading San Diego.

If Chicago can get results in their last two games, they should have enough points for a playoff spot.

Meanwhile…

The WSL got its long-awaited opening weekend, with a few eyebrow-raising results.

Newly promoted Liverpool shocked 2021 league winners Chelsea 2-1.
Aston Villa also won a 4-3 thriller over Manchester City.
American forward Katie Stengel scored both of Liverpool’s goals on penalties.

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Chelsea got a penalty of their own to open the scoring, but they did not score again in the run of play.
This was Chelsea’s first loss from a winning halftime position since 2013, a match also against Liverpool.
Former NWSL players had a good Sunday, with Rachel Daly scoring a key game-winner.

The former Houston Dash captain scored a brace, including one fantastic strike in the first half, to lead Aston Villa to the upset win.
Manchester City’s departures in the offseason continue to catch up with them, as the team struggled in possession out of the back on Sunday.

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